Bitfinex

**Bond markets are showing stress signals** with rising long-term yields and falling short-term rates, creating a challenging backdrop of weak employment and persistent inflation. **September remains quiet for Bitcoin**, but market conditions are aligning for potential movement ahead. The combination of: - Expected rate cuts from central banks - Strong historical Q4 seasonal patterns - Current market consolidation phase Suggests **October and November could deliver Bitcoin's next significant move**. **Stagflation risks** are emerging as bond market distortions continue, but Bitcoin's seasonal strength typically peaks during the final quarter. The question remains whether BTC can break higher into year-end despite macroeconomic headwinds. [Read the full Bitfinex Alpha analysis](https://blog.bitfinex.com/bitfinex-alpha/bitfinex-alpha-btc-consolidates-ahead-of-potential-q4-strength-as-bond-markets-contort/)

Bitfinex is hosting an exclusive AMA session on their Telegram channel with a prominent Web3 figure. The event will be moderated by @BitFreedomGus. Key Details: - Special edition AMA with mystery guest - Host: @BitFreedomGus - Platform: Bitfinex Telegram - Join link: [Bitfinex Telegram](https://t.me/bitfinex) This follows their successful July AMA featuring LaymansCrypto from TokenFi.

Bitcoin maintained support at $114,800 after last week's 5% drop that triggered $1.46B in long liquidations. While BTC shows resilience, attention is shifting to altcoins with open interest expanding from $26B to $44B since July. Key developments: - ETH dominance growing with increased speculative inflows - Daily liquidations averaging $350M indicate high leverage - US economic data shows weakness - Institutional crypto interest continues rising Market structure suggests rotation from BTC to alts, though elevated leverage raises risk levels. Long-term holders are distributing while ETFs and retail absorb supply near all-time highs.

LaymansCrypto, Social Media Coordinator at TokenFi, will host a live AMA session on Bitfinex's Telegram channel. **Event Details:** - Date: July 4, 2025 - Time: 2PM UTC - Platform: [Bitfinex Telegram](http://t.me/bitfinex) - Host: @BitFreedomGus Community members can submit questions through the [submission form](https://forms.gle/D1eNETgSBc1bbdsz5) until 23:59 UTC. *Join the discussion to learn more about TokenFi's latest developments.*

Bitcoin continues its consolidation phase between $100K-$110K, with strong support at $98.7K and notably low leverage levels. Historical data indicates Q3 typically represents Bitcoin's weakest quarter, characterized by: - Reduced market volatility - Slower price movements - Extended consolidation periods This pattern follows an 81-day trading range of $91K-$102K earlier in 2025, marked by: - Historic low volatility levels - Bearish Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse - Significant altcoin corrections (PEPE -46.4%) *Key question*: Will current market conditions break from historical Q3 patterns? [Read full analysis on Bitfinex Alpha](https://blog.bitfinex.com/bitfinex-alpha/bitfinex-alpha-btc-consolidates-ahead-of-q3/)

@r0ckstardev shares insights from El Salvador's Bitcoin journey in latest Bitfinex Talks: - Real adoption comes from *actively using* Bitcoin, not just holding - Emphasis on practical implementation in daily transactions - Highlights importance of flowing sats to global communities - Demonstrates how Bitcoin adoption transforms communities Key takeaway: **Bitcoin's true value emerges through practical usage and circulation within communities** Watch the full discussion: [Bitfinex Talks Episode](https://youtu.be/Fr0z4CN4uQQ)

Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory with analysts identifying crucial resistance levels. Key points to watch: - Minor liquidity walls between $114K-$118K - Major resistance zone at $123K-$125K with significant options interest - Previous trading range was $85K-$92K in March This movement follows the White House Crypto Summit and shows substantial market evolution from March's $3B options expiration period. Market sentiment remains influenced by macro factors and institutional activity. [Read full analysis](https://blog.bitfinex.com/bitfinex-alpha/bitfinex-alpha-market-losses-rise-as-bulls-hesitate/)

Bitcoin's recent climb to $102,800 appears fundamentally supported rather than speculative, according to Bitfinex Alpha analysis. Key factors maintaining upward momentum: - Sustained ETF and institutional investment flows - Stable macroeconomic conditions - Strong buying pressure on dips While price volatility continues, higher timeframe analysis shows robust structural strength. Market experts suggest the path of least resistance remains upward as institutional activity increases. [Read full analysis on Bitcoin.com](https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoins-latest-climb-to-102800-fueled-by-rush-of-institutional-activity-experts-say/)

Bitcoin demonstrated notable strength in April with a **14.08% monthly gain**, outperforming historical averages. The asset staged a significant **32% recovery** from $74.5K to nearly $98K. Key developments: - Price consolidation above $93,340 (short-term holder cost basis) - Reclaimed critical $95K level, former range support - On-chain metrics show miners holding positions - Reduced selling pressure across networks Technical indicators and on-chain data suggest a stable foundation for potential future price movement, though outcomes remain dependent on broader macro conditions. [Read the full analysis](https://blog.bitfinex.com/bitfinex-alpha/bitfinex-alpha-strong-april-close-sets-up-bitcoin-for-summer/)

Bitcoin showed strong recovery last week, climbing 6.67% to reclaim $85K following Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff pause. The rebound appears fundamentally sound, driven by spot buying rather than leverage, indicating genuine buyer interest. Key points: - Currently 83 days into a mid-cycle correction - Down 31% from all-time highs - Movement remains within normal bull market parameters - Spot Cumulative Volume Delta shows consistent aggressive buying - Price action contained between $75K-$85K range While the correction has been significant, on-chain metrics suggest underlying strength in buyer activity.