Polymarket has launched multiple prediction markets focused on high-profile events and personalities. Key markets include:
- Pope Francis' funeral attendance predictions
- Trump administration changes and policy decisions
- International trade developments, particularly US-China tariffs
- Political forecasts for Canada and global events
Notable markets show increasing focus on geopolitical events and major political figures. Markets reflect growing uncertainty around international trade relations and political transitions.
Current odds suggest significant volatility in predictions for both domestic and international outcomes.
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: BitBoy convicted? poly.market/jrlCdjU
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Trump pause reciprocal tariffs on EU before they go into effect Wednesday? poly.market/6WpudqZ
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Who will attend Pope Francis' funeral?
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before May? poly.market/5pJhnAB
CHINA ASKS TRUMP TO MAKE A DEAL ON TARIFFS 50/50 chance it happens this month.
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Peter Navarro out of Trump administration in April? PETER RETARRDO?
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: What will Trump say at tonight's NRCC Dinner? poly.market/nkRJmvZ
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Canadian Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? poly.market/K3phavW
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Anthropic be acquired this year? poly.market/9zV4ICY
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Trump increase tariffs on China (again) by Friday? poly.market/jSey8lO
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will the United States deport Melania Trump? poly.market/q233dVn
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Who will leave Trump Administration this year? poly.market/9gOGxpM
NEW: Trump now expected to reduce the majority of tariffs before July. Time to make a deal? poly.market/lRijH7O
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Who will Trump pardon this year?
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Major earthquake (7.0 or above on the Richter scale) before May? poly.market/KFXehex
JUST IN: Trump is expected to raise the tariffs on China yet again, in response to potential retaliatory tariffs. Rumors are swirling the rate will be increased from 54% to 100% — or more. poly.market/VFre1gb
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat? poly.market/cmkoZ8g
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last? poly.market/1CUhBAk
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will the next Pope be trans?
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Impractical Jokers' Joe Gatto charged with sex crime? poly.market/xBB3qFT
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will the U.S. default on its debt this year? poly.market/qYlRO4E
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Trump claim the Moon landing was fake? poly.market/89I8svH
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: What will Trump say during his meeting & press conference with Netanyahu today? poly.market/affnG6N
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Fear & Greed Index in "Extreme Fear" every day this week? poly.market/6NMInfS
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will @LauraLoomer join the Trump administration this month? poly.market/U6aTkPw
Canadian Conservative Leader's PM Odds Drop to 16%
Following the release of the Conservative Party platform, Pierre Poilievre's chances of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister have significantly declined according to Polymarket data. - Current odds show Liberals at 80% to win - Conservative supporters could earn 6x returns if successful - This marks a sharp decline from 55% odds in March after Trudeau's resignation The dramatic shift in betting markets comes with just 6 days remaining before the election, suggesting the platform release may have impacted voter sentiment.
Trump's Statement on Powell's Future at Federal Reserve
Former President Trump has publicly stated he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, should he win the 2024 election. However, prediction markets on Polymarket still indicate a 16% probability of Powell's removal in 2025. This statement follows earlier rumors from April 8th about potential leadership changes at the Fed. The market has maintained consistent odds despite Trump's recent declaration. - Current market probability: 16% - Market available on [Polymarket](https://poly.market/JTdyiVe) - Timeline: Potential action in 2025
Polymarket Predicts New Pope Announcement Date
Prediction market platform Polymarket indicates the next Pope will likely be announced around May 9th, 2025. This follows earlier market movements from February showing a 76% probability of a new Pope being chosen in 2025. The platform aggregates crowd wisdom to generate real-time probability forecasts for major world events. - Current prediction: May 9th announcement - Previous odds: 76% chance in 2025 - Market available at [Polymarket](https://polymkt.com/jpiZf6W)
US-China Tariff Deal Rumors: Market Skepticism Persists
Social media speculation about an imminent US-China tariff agreement continues to circulate, but market indicators suggest skepticism about the deal's likelihood. The uncertainty follows a pattern of market volatility triggered by previous tariff-related developments, notably including Trump's earlier trade policies that rattled investor confidence. - Markets remain cautious despite ongoing rumors - Historical context shows similar patterns of speculation - Trading activity indicates limited confidence in deal completion *Market participants appear to be taking a wait-and-see approach rather than acting on unconfirmed reports.*