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Numerai

The smart contract powering Numerai. Submit predictions and stake the NMR token on your predictions.

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Numerai Reveals Faith Dataset: LLM Converts News into Market Predictions

Fri 6th Feb 2026
At NumerCon2026, Numerai unveiled its **Faith dataset** - a system where their Predictive LLM processes tens of thousands of news articles daily and converts them into numeric data for every stock in the Numerai Tournament. **Key Innovation:** - The Meta Model now makes predictions based on both market movements and real-world events - News articles are transformed into quantifiable data points for stock predictions - This expands beyond traditional market data to incorporate global events This builds on Numerai's existing infrastructure of thousands of staked models (over $5.5M staked) that feed into their Stake-weighted Meta Model. The new Faith dataset adds a layer of news-driven intelligence to their crowdsourced prediction system. Full video documentation is expected soon.
Community article

Numerai Launches Risk Tournament for Volatility Prediction

Fri 6th Feb 2026
Numerai is introducing **Numerai Risk**, a new tournament focused on predicting residual volatility using machine learning. **Key features:** - New data features specifically designed for risk prediction - Operates alongside existing Numerai tournaments - Introduces a unique **Risk Meta Model** The tournament will complement Numerai's existing prediction platforms, which include the original equity tournament and Numerai Crypto (launched in 2024 with 256 models staking over $790,000). The Risk tournament is coming soon. More details to be announced.
Community article

Numerai Launches Tools for Agentic Alpha Discovery

Fri 6th Feb 2026
Numerai has released new tools enabling **fully agentic alpha discovery** in quantitative finance. The platform is shifting focus from traditional model building to what they call "architecting scientists" - autonomous agents that can discover trading signals. **Key developments:** - Tools for agentic workflows are now live on the platform - Represents a move away from manual model construction - Aligns with broader AI industry trend toward smaller, specialized agents over large monolithic models This release builds on Numerai's existing prediction marketplace where data scientists stake NMR tokens on their models' performance. The new agentic approach could automate significant portions of the quantitative research process.
Community article

NumerCon 2026 Registration Opens for January 30th San Francisco Event

Mon 15th Dec 2025
**NumerCon 2026** registration is now live for the upcoming conference. - **Date**: January 30th, 2026 - **Location**: San Francisco - **Registration**: [Open now](https://luma.com/numercon2026) The annual Numerai community conference brings together data scientists, researchers, and crypto enthusiasts focused on decentralized prediction markets and machine learning. Early registration is recommended as spots typically fill quickly for this specialized event. [Register here](https://luma.com/numercon2026) to secure your attendance.

Numerai Announces Major Tournament Overhaul Coming by End of 2025

Thu 13th Nov 2025
**Numerai is planning significant changes** to its prediction tournaments by the end of 2025, describing these updates as moving toward their "final form." The improvements will include: - **New dataset** for predictions - **Updated targets** for modeling - **Enhanced payout structure** These changes represent a major evolution for the platform that allows users to submit predictions and stake NMR tokens on their forecasts. **Stay informed** about these important updates by subscribing to [Numerai's blog](https://blog.numer.ai/) for detailed announcements as they become available.

Numerai Crypto Switches to V2 Spectra Dataset for All New Rounds

Thu 13th Nov 2025
**Numerai Crypto has officially transitioned to its V2 Spectra dataset** for all rounds starting November 12th and beyond. The upgrade represents a significant shift in the platform's data infrastructure: - All new prediction rounds now use the enhanced V2 dataset - The Spectra dataset offers improved data quality and features - Users can access the new dataset at [crypto.numer.ai/data/v2.0](https://crypto.numer.ai/data/v2.0) **Key details:** - Transition affects rounds beginning November 12th onward - Previous rounds continue using legacy data - Full documentation available on the [Numerai forum](https://forum.numer.ai/t/crypto-v2-0-spectra-dataset/8197) This marks the completion of Numerai's dataset migration that began with the V2.0 announcement in October. The Spectra dataset aims to provide more robust signals for crypto market predictions. *Update your models and download the new dataset to participate in upcoming rounds.*

Numerai Launches Crypto V2.0 Spectra Dataset for Prediction Markets

Thu 9th Oct 2025
**Numerai has released its Crypto V2.0 Spectra Dataset**, expanding the platform's prediction capabilities into cryptocurrency markets. The new dataset follows the recent launch of Numerai Signals V2 "Cosmic" dataset, which featured: - Massively expanded universe of assets - Improved ticker consistency - Enhanced data quality for predictions **Key details:** - Available immediately for data scientists and quants - Builds on Numerai's prediction tournament model - Users can stake NMR tokens on their crypto predictions This release represents Numerai's continued expansion beyond traditional equity markets into digital assets, providing structured data for machine learning models to predict cryptocurrency performance. The platform allows participants to submit predictions and stake NMR tokens based on their confidence levels, creating a decentralized hedge fund powered by crowd-sourced intelligence. [Read the full details on Numerai's forum](https://forum.numer.ai/t/crypto-v2-spectra-dataset/8197)
Community article

NumerCon 2026 Scheduled for January 30th in San Francisco

Mon 6th Oct 2025
**NumerCon 2026** is set for **January 30th** in San Francisco. The annual conference brings together the Numerai community of data scientists and machine learning practitioners. - Date: January 30th, 2026 - Location: San Francisco - Event: NumerCon 2026 Mark your calendars for this key gathering in the prediction market space.
Community article

Decentralized AI Day Vienna

Thu 4th Sep 2025
**Decentralized AI Day** is coming to Vienna on **September 20th**. The event will feature: - Discussions on **Numerai** developments - Latest trends in **decentralized AI** - Networking with industry professionals Hosted by @NumeraiCoE, this gathering follows successful events in other cities. **RSVP required**: [Register here](https://luma.com/5w9wvbjf?tk=8Bi8Mv) Don't miss this opportunity to connect with the decentralized AI community.

Numerai Signals Switches to Alpha + MPC Scoring

Mon 1st Sep 2025
**Numerai Signals is implementing a major scoring change** starting September 2nd. The platform will transition from its current system to **Alpha + MPC scores** for all new rounds. - Alpha scoring was introduced in August as a new evaluation method - MPC (Multi-Party Computation) scores will be combined with Alpha - Change affects all prediction rounds beginning September 2nd or later This represents a significant shift in how Signals evaluates and rewards predictions on the platform.
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