US Inflation Holds Steady at 2.​7%, Below Market Expectations

馃搳 CPI vs Reality Gap

By Nuon
Aug 14, 2025, 3:23 PM
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The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported US inflation (CPI) at 2.​7% for the latest period, matching the previous month and coming in slightly under the anticipated 2.​8%.​

Truflation's real-time consumer price tracking suggests actual inflation has remained below 2% since March 2025, indicating a potential disconnect between official figures and market reality.​

Key points:

  • Official CPI: 2.​7%
  • Market expectation: 2.​8%
  • Truflation data shows <2% since March
  • Food prices show +0.​3% month-over-month increase

Truflation's data aggregation has demonstrated effectiveness as a leading indicator, with predictive capabilities up to 45 days ahead of official releases.​

Sources

The official US inflation (CPI) came at 2.7%. Same as last month and slightly below expectations of 2.8%. If @BLS_gov used @truflation's massive real-time consumer price data like we do, they'd know inflation has been mostly below 2% since March 2025. Prime time to cut rates.

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@truflation

July BLS CPI: 2.7% 馃嚭馃嚫 The BLS is still analyzing data from weeks ago. Inflation trends are changing. Visit our website to see the changes in real-time.

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