Former President Trump signals potential escalation in the US-China trade war, with rumors suggesting tariff increases from 54% to potentially 100% or higher. The move comes as a response to anticipated retaliatory tariffs from China.
Markets have experienced significant volatility for three consecutive days as tensions mount between the world's two largest economies.
Key points:
- Current tariff rate: 54%
- Proposed increase: Up to 100%
- Market impact: Sustained volatility
- Timing: Expected implementation in 2025
This development marks a significant intensification of existing trade tensions.
Canadian Election Update: Conservatives Gain Ground but Liberals Hold Lead
Recent polling shows Conservative momentum in Canada's upcoming election, though Liberals maintain frontrunner status. Key developments: - Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre's odds improved from 16% on April 23 - Earlier platform release appeared to hurt Conservative chances - Liberals currently projected at 80% likelihood to win - Election concludes in 3 days Track real-time results on [Polymarket](https://poly.market/i9pSFY6) for faster updates than traditional media.
Trump's 100 Day Rally Predictions Hit Polymarket
Polymarket has launched a new prediction market focused on Trump's upcoming 100 Day Commemorative Rally speech content. This follows a series of Trump-related markets including: - Potential China tariff negotiations - Administration personnel changes - Policy statements Recent markets show increased focus on Trump's public appearances and statements, with multiple speech-content prediction opportunities. The platform continues tracking both domestic and international policy implications of Trump's second term. **Key Active Markets:** - Trump's 100 Day Rally statements - Papal succession age predictions - China trade deal probability - Administration staffing changes [View latest odds on Polymarket](https://poly.market)
Trump's Statement on Powell's Future at Federal Reserve
Former President Trump has publicly stated he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, should he win the 2024 election. However, prediction markets on Polymarket still indicate a 16% probability of Powell's removal in 2025. This statement follows earlier rumors from April 8th about potential leadership changes at the Fed. The market has maintained consistent odds despite Trump's recent declaration. - Current market probability: 16% - Market available on [Polymarket](https://poly.market/JTdyiVe) - Timeline: Potential action in 2025
Trump Expected to Reduce China Tariffs by July 2025
Recent market predictions indicate Trump is likely to reduce the majority of tariffs on Chinese goods before July 2025. This marks a significant shift from February when odds were at 14%. The potential policy change suggests an evolving stance on US-China trade relations. Key points: - Timing expected before July 2025 - Represents major shift in trade policy - Market sentiment shows increasing confidence Track market predictions at [Polymarket](https://poly.market/lRijH7O)