Reflection on Past Market Predictions
Reflection on Past Market Predictions
🎯 When FUD Becomes Fact
A brief look back at our market coverage reveals some interesting patterns. While we faced criticism for allegedly sensationalist headlines about an impending strike in June 2025, subsequent events validated our reporting. The strike did materialize as predicted.
Earlier in January 2024, we acknowledged taking a perhaps too conservative stance on the sell the news phenomenon. This demonstrates the challenges in finding the right balance in market reporting.
We got called “sensationalist” for this headline. Turns out a strike was indeed imminent.
BREAKING: ODDS OF U.S. STRIKE AGAINST IRAN SURGE PAST 70% STRIKE MAY BE "IMMINENT"
Iran Supreme Leader Claims Victory Over US
Iran's Supreme Leader has made bold statements claiming victory over what he terms the American regime, stating Iran has slapped America in the face. This follows earlier declarations from Iran's Army on June 23rd claiming direct US involvement in conflict. The situation marks an escalation in rhetoric between the two nations, though actual military engagement details remain unverified. - June 26: Supreme Leader's victory declaration - June 23: Iran Army claims US direct war involvement *Note: These statements represent official Iranian positions and have not been independently verified.*
US Federal Housing Director Orders Mortgage Providers to Consider Cryptocurrency Assets
The U.S. Director of Federal Housing has issued a directive requiring mortgage providers to include cryptocurrency holdings when evaluating borrower creditworthiness. This marks a significant shift in traditional mortgage assessment criteria. Key points: - Cryptocurrency assets must now be considered in mortgage applications - Policy represents formal recognition of digital assets in housing finance - Implementation details and specific cryptocurrency requirements pending This development could potentially expand access to home ownership for cryptocurrency investors while setting new precedents for digital asset recognition in traditional finance.
Trump Calls for Cancellation of Netanyahu Trial
Former US President Trump has called for the cancellation of Israeli PM Netanyahu's criminal trial. This development follows a previously canceled press conference between the two leaders in April 2025. - Trump's intervention comes amid ongoing legal proceedings against Netanyahu - The statement marks a significant involvement in Israeli domestic affairs - Previous joint press conference was canceled without detailed explanation *Context*: Netanyahu faces multiple criminal charges in ongoing legal proceedings in Israel.
Israel-Iran Ceasefire Status Update
Recent developments show escalating tensions between Israel, Iran, and the US: - Iran's military leadership maintains control over response timing and scale - 51% probability of Iranian response by next Monday - US citizens in region declared as targets - 60% likelihood of Iran's Supreme Leader being removed from power - Iranian claims about enriched uranium stockpiles persist - US invasion probability at 14% - Global nuclear detonation risk increased to 18% - US strike on Iran probability exceeds 70% - Iranian internet disruptions reported (85% likelihood) Markets indicate deteriorating diplomatic relations with Iran nuclear deal chances at 37%.
Trump Plans to Restrict Classified Information Sharing with Congress
Former President Trump has announced plans to limit sharing classified information with Congress following a leak about Iran bombing damage. This decision marks a shift from his earlier stance in May when he expressed reluctance to bomb Iran. The move raises questions about: - Congressional oversight capabilities - National security information flow - Executive branch transparency This development follows recent tensions regarding military actions in Iran and subsequent information management protocols.