Predictions and Preparations for Ethereum Upgrade 4844

By Scroll
Mar 14, 2024, 5:03 PM
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A prediction about Ethereum 4844 suggests Blob will be cheaper than calldata on mainnet.​ Users urged to be cautious with L2 upgrades, conduct audits and have backup plans.​ Scroll has prepared for the upgrade to reduce fees, maintain security.​ Concern raised about projects launching without audits, testnets or proper security measures in the current bullish market.​

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My slightly controversial prediction about 4844: 1) Blob will be 3-5x cheaper than calldata (the number comes from Goerli testnet), Polymarket doesn鈥檛 have big enough counter party. Hopefully, there won鈥檛 be blob-inscription to further compete with Rollups 馃槀 2) It鈥檚 super

vitalik.eth
vitalik.eth
@VitalikButerin

Polymarket is predicting that blobs (~125 kB) will cost ~0.001 ETH. Today, 125 kB calldata costs ~30 gwei per gas * 16 gas per byte * 125000 gas ~= 0.06 ETH And if you think polymarket's guess that blobs will be 60x cheaper is over-optimistic, you can use the market to hedge!

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