馃幆 Prediction Market Parlays Still Have Major Inefficiencies
馃幆 Prediction Market Parlays Still Have Major Inefficiencies
馃幆 Prediction Market Secret
Correlation challenges persist in prediction markets
Kix highlighted ongoing inefficiencies in prediction market parlays during Against The Odds podcast. The key issue revolves around correlation modeling - understanding how different betting outcomes relate to each other.
Market opportunity identified:
- Current platforms struggle with correlation calculations
- Liquidity providers who solve this could dominate
- Users want more leverage options but need better infrastructure
Why this matters: Prediction markets are growing rapidly, but technical limitations prevent optimal user experiences. Whoever cracks the correlation code could unlock significant leverage for traders while providing superior liquidity.
The discussion featured @Tyler_Did_It, @0xGeebz, and guest @SpeculatorArt exploring these market dynamics.
Kix explains the importance of correlation in prediction market parlays: "There's still inefficiencies there. Whoever can figure that out can provide the most amount of liquidity and unlock leverage for users" @Tyler_Did_It, @0xGeebz & guest @SpeculatorArt on Against The Odds
馃敭 Prediction Markets Take Center Stage at TOKEN2049 Singapore
**Predictify Everything** emerges as the flagship prediction market event at TOKEN2049 Singapore on September 30th, 2025. The event positions itself as the premier gathering for prediction market enthusiasts during one of Asia's largest crypto conferences. - Event date: Tuesday, September 30th, 2025 - Location: Singapore - Focus: Prediction markets and forecasting - Part of TOKEN2049 conference ecosystem Attendees can register and find more details at [luma.com/triqe2gx](https://luma.com/triqe2gx). The timing aligns with TOKEN2049's reputation as a major networking hub for crypto professionals and projects in the Asia-Pacific region.
UK Plans Mandatory Digital IDs by 2029
**UK's Digital ID Push Raises Privacy Concerns** Prime Minister Starmer's government plans to implement mandatory digital IDs by 2029, citing immigration control as justification. **Key Components:** - Mandatory phone-based identification - Unchangeable biometric data collection - Centralized digital identity system **Privacy Risks:** Critics warn this creates a comprehensive surveillance infrastructure. The centralized approach makes citizens' data vulnerable to breaches and government overreach. **The Real Question:** While framed as immigration policy, the system would monitor all UK residents. This represents a significant shift toward state surveillance under the guise of security. Read more: [Decrypt Media](decrypt.co/341631/uks-new-di)
馃敾 Crypto Correction Hits
**Major crypto selloff** hits markets with BTC down to $109.2k (-4%), ETH at $3.8k (-7%), and SOL at $196 (-8%). **Key regulatory developments:** - Senate schedules crypto taxation hearing - Ohio becomes latest state to accept crypto for fees - 9 major EU banks launch EUR stablecoin initiative **Product launches:** - PayPal adds crypto peer-to-peer payments - USDH stablecoin goes live on Hyperliquid - Circle explores reversible transaction technology **Market movers:** - PNKSTR reaches new all-time high above $50M market cap - ASTER airdrop scheduled for October 5 - Japan stocks hit 12-year high amid global market volatility Rekt Drinks teases new Rekt Energy product launch.
馃嵍 Sake Meets Solana
**Rug Radio and Myriad Markets** are hosting an exclusive networking event in Singapore, partnering with Auros Global. The gathering brings together: - Leading blockchain builders - Crypto traders and VCs - Web3 media professionals Inspired by Japan's traditional sake bar culture, the event offers limited spots for attendees. **Sponsors include:** - Double Zero - Arkham - Bonk Inu [RSVP here](https://luma.com/sq4y5dgc?s=08) - spots are filling up quickly.