Polymarket Prediction Market on SBF's Prison Sentence Sees Over $1 Million in Bets
Polymarket Prediction Market on SBF's Prison Sentence Sees Over $1 Million in Bets
🔓 Crypto Bets Revealed
A prediction market hosted on Polymarket for the prison sentence of Sam Bankman-Fried, the former CEO of the now-defunct cryptocurrency exchange FTX, saw over a million dollars worth of bets placed. Bankman-Fried was officially sentenced to 25 years in prison yesterday, and this fact has been verified on-chain by the Optimistic Oracle (OO) protocol. The Polymarket platform allows users to bet on the outcomes of various events, and the details of this particular prediction market are available for public viewing.
Over a million dollars worth of bets were placed in the @Polymarket prediction market for SBF’s prison sentence. He was officially sentenced to 25 years in prison yesterday. This fact has been verified onchain with the OO. ✅
UMA Docs Enhanced with AI Search Capability
UMA has integrated AI search functionality into their documentation, making it easier to learn about their Optimistic Oracle system. The Optimistic Oracle has proven highly reliable, with over 50,000 processed assertions and a 98% undisputed rate. This system enables developers to secure verifiable truth and data on-chain for their applications. Key features: - AI-powered documentation search - Over 50,000 successful assertions processed - 98% undisputed rate - Blockchain truth verification capabilities Learn more about building with UMA's Optimistic Oracle at [UMA Documentation](https://docs.uma.xyz/)
UMA Protocol Implements Two Major Upgrades: UMIP-185 and UMIP-186
Two significant upgrades have been implemented in the UMA Protocol: - **UMIP-185**: Optimistic oracle now uses hash and pointers instead of full ancillary data, reducing onchain data and gas costs - **UMIP-186**: Settlement Price Approval Threshold (SPAT) increased from 50% to 65%, requiring stronger consensus for dispute votes The SPAT change affects only contentious cases (2% of total votes). In 2025, only 6 out of 291 votes would have been impacted. This upgrade strengthens security for high-stakes decisions while maintaining efficiency. Learn more about SPAT changes: [UMA Discourse](https://discourse.uma.xyz/t/increase-spat-to-65/2177)
UMA Adds Early Proposal Warning to Reduce Disputes
UMA is implementing a new warning system to address the issue of premature proposals leading to disputes. - A warning message will now appear before proposers can sign - This change aims to reduce the number of disputed proposals - The warning helps educate proposers about optimal timing For detailed information about early proposals and P4 timing, check out UMA's comprehensive guide: [What is P4 and Why Does it Matter?](https://blog.uma.xyz/articles/what-is-p4)
UMA Optimistic Oracle Maintains 98.11% Undisputed Rate with Over 46K Proposals
The UMA Optimistic Oracle continues to demonstrate robust performance with a 98.11% undisputed proposal rate. Key metrics include: - 46,718 total onchain proposals - Over 525 unique proposers - 80% of disputes stem from premature submissions (P4 - Too Early) The oracle system enables users to secure prediction market outcomes and other onchain assertions through natural language statements. View detailed metrics: [UMA Oracle Dashboard](https://dune.com/risk_labs/uma-oo-metrics) *Want to become a proposer? Visit [oracle.uma.xyz/propose](oracle.uma.xyz/propose)*
Prediction Markets: From Ethereum Whitepaper to Modern DeFi Trend
Prediction markets, originally mentioned in the Ethereum Whitepaper, have emerged as a significant DeFi trend in 2024. Key developments include: - Goldman Sachs now incorporates prediction market data in financial analysis - Polymarket leads innovation while Robinhood recently added US election trading - Markets cover diverse areas from politics to sports - Provides real-time public sentiment analysis without intermediaries The technology enables transparent, decentralized forecasting across various sectors, marking a significant evolution from concept to practical implementation. Learn more about gas rebates and voting processes at UMA's blog.