Polymarket Prediction Accuracy Surpasses Traditional Polling

A new prediction market has launched on Polymarket asking **what Bernie Sanders will say** during his upcoming Fighting Oligarchy speech. Users can now place bets on specific phrases, topics, or statements the Vermont senator might make during his address. The market reflects real-time probabilities based on collective predictions from traders. - Platform aggregates crowd wisdom to forecast speech content - Traders can profit from accurately predicting Sanders' talking points - Market prices show current consensus on likely statements This follows similar political prediction markets on the platform, including previous bets on Trump rally speeches. The betting closes before Sanders takes the stage.

**National Guard troops are preparing for deployment across 19 states** as part of a sweeping federal operation targeting immigration violations and federal crimes. This deployment follows Trump's earlier declaration that he may use military forces in major cities like Chicago and New York to address crime issues. **Key developments:** - Multi-state National Guard mobilization underway - Focus on immigration enforcement and federal crime crackdown - Three Republican governors already sending hundreds of troops to Washington D.C. - Part of broader federal law enforcement strategy The coordinated deployment represents one of the largest domestic military operations in recent years, spanning nearly two-fifths of U.S. states. *This story is developing as more details emerge about the scope and timeline of the deployment.*

The head of the IRS's cryptocurrency enforcement division has **resigned**, marking another significant departure from federal crypto oversight roles. This follows a pattern of high-profile exits from government crypto units: - David Hirsch left the SEC's Crypto Unit in June 2024 after nearly a decade - Hirsch had led landmark enforcement cases and expanded DeFi oversight The resignation comes at a critical time as the IRS continues developing crypto tax compliance frameworks and enforcement strategies. The departure may signal shifts in how federal agencies approach cryptocurrency regulation and enforcement. **Key implications:** - Potential changes in IRS crypto enforcement priorities - Uncertainty around future tax compliance initiatives - Continued regulatory personnel turnover in the crypto space The timing and reasons behind the resignation remain unclear, but it adds to the ongoing reshuffling of leadership within federal crypto oversight divisions.

The U.S. Government has officially acquired a **10% stake in Intel Corporation**, marking a significant move in government involvement with major tech infrastructure. According to reports citing Trump, Intel agreed to the government acquisition deal. This represents a notable shift in the relationship between federal authorities and critical semiconductor manufacturing. Key implications: - Government now holds substantial influence in Intel's operations - Reflects growing national security focus on chip manufacturing - Could signal broader tech sector government partnerships The acquisition comes amid ongoing concerns about semiconductor supply chains and national technology independence.

The Department of Justice has released transcripts from Ghislaine Maxwell's testimony, revealing her statement that Jeffrey Epstein **did not kill himself**. Key revelations from the transcripts: - Maxwell directly contradicts the official suicide ruling - Additional testimony indicates Trump **was never inappropriate with anybody** - The release provides new insights into the high-profile case The transcripts offer rare glimpse into Maxwell's perspective on Epstein's death in federal custody. Her statements challenge the official narrative surrounding the circumstances of his passing. Prediction markets are now tracking potential suspects and outcomes related to the case, allowing users to bet on various scenarios as more information emerges. [View Epstein suspects list](https://poly.market/agDplkn)