Polymarket has opened a new prediction market focused on potential Supreme Court decisions regarding gay marriage rights. This follows a series of politically-focused markets including:
- Trump's DC Crime Press Conference outcomes
- National Guard deployment predictions
- Sydney Sweeney mentions
- Federal Reserve Chair nomination
The platform continues to expand its political prediction offerings, allowing users to trade on anticipated outcomes of major judicial and policy decisions.
Current market: Supreme Court Gay Marriage Decision
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Who will Trump nominate to replace Powell as Fed Chair?
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Trump mention Sydney Sweeney again by Friday?
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Trump deploy the National Guard in DC today? poly.market/1PFOcn4
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage this year? poly.market/SfWQQFv
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: What will Trump say during his DC Crime Press Conference today?
U.S. Producer Price Index Rises to 3.3%
The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) has increased to 3.3%, surpassing market expectations. This follows yesterday's projections of inflation exceeding 3%, significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target rate. Historical context shows a pattern of elevated producer prices, with April's core PPI having risen 3.1% year-over-year, while overall producer prices saw a mixed performance of -0.5% month-over-month and +2.4% year-over-year. These figures suggest persistent inflationary pressures in the production pipeline, which could impact consumer prices.
Tesla Arsonist Sentenced to 7 Years in Prison

A defendant has been convicted of arson and criminal mischief in connection with a Tesla incident, receiving a 7-year prison sentence. This case follows earlier developments where legal representatives sought $6 billion in damages related to Tesla. - **Conviction**: Arson and criminal mischief - **Sentence**: 7 years imprisonment - **Date**: August 14, 2025 The case highlights ongoing legal challenges surrounding Tesla and property damage incidents.
US National Debt Reaches $37 Trillion Milestone
The US national debt has reached a new milestone of $37 trillion, with market predictions showing an 88% probability of exceeding $38 trillion before year-end. This follows a concerning trend, as the debt increased by $2.5 trillion in just six months earlier this year. Key points: - Current debt: $37 trillion - High probability (88%) of reaching $38T this year - Recent history: $2.5T increase in 6 months - Previous milestone: $34T in January 2024 Track market predictions on [Polymarket](https://poly.market/1xnRsO2)
Trump-Putin Alaska Meeting and Ukraine Sovereignty Discussion
Former President Trump is scheduled to meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15th, with prediction markets showing an 88% likelihood. Markets indicate a 22% probability that Trump will consider recognizing Russian sovereignty over Ukraine during discussions. - Meeting location: Alaska - Date: August 15th, 2025 - Key topics: Ukraine sovereignty - Market probabilities: * Meeting occurrence: 88% * Ukraine sovereignty discussion: 22% Earlier statements from Trump regarding nuclear preparedness against Russia showed 9% market probability of nuclear events this year. [View live odds on Polymarket](https://poly.market/5cgoTdr)