Polymarket Launches 2025 Oscars Best Cinematography Market

The probability of a nuclear weapon being used in 2025 has increased to 18%, according to prediction markets. This comes amid escalating tensions between the US and Iran: - US strike against Iran now estimated at 70% probability - US-Iran nuclear deal chances drop to 37% - Iran-Israel conflict intensifying with mutual strike threats This marks a significant shift from May 2025, when US-Iran nuclear deal prospects were at 65%. Military analysts suggest monitoring the situation closely. *Latest market data indicates heightened regional instability in the Middle East*

Several prediction markets focused on potential US-Iran conflict have launched on Polymarket in June 2025: - Latest market questions US strike on Iran's underground nuclear facility - Previous markets cover: * Potential US war declaration * Iran's Supreme Leader possible flight * US Baghdad Embassy evacuation * Tulsi Gabbard resignation The concentration of Iran-focused markets suggests increased attention on Middle East tensions. Markets provide real-time probability estimates based on trader activity.

Market indicators suggest Iran may experience a major cyberattack resulting in an extensive internet shutdown, with prediction markets showing an 85% probability. This development comes amid ongoing concerns about Iran's political stability and the status of its Supreme Leader. - Prediction markets indicate high likelihood of cyber disruption - Potential for almost complete internet shutdown - Situation appears connected to broader political tensions Track live probability updates at [Polymarket](https://poly.market/kSAlT2g) *This is a developing situation with rapidly changing odds.*

Iran is evaluating the possibility of closing the Strait of Hormuz, with current prediction markets indicating a 33% probability. This development comes as the likelihood of a US military strike against Iran has increased significantly, now exceeding 70% probability according to market data. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical maritime chokepoint for global oil supply. Key points: - 1 in 3 chance of strait closure - US strike probability >70% - Strike described as potentially imminent

Recent market predictions indicate Trump is likely to reduce the majority of tariffs on Chinese goods before July 2025. This marks a significant shift from February when odds were at 14%. The potential policy change suggests an evolving stance on US-China trade relations. Key points: - Timing expected before July 2025 - Represents major shift in trade policy - Market sentiment shows increasing confidence Track market predictions at [Polymarket](https://poly.market/lRijH7O)