New York Launches $12,000 Crypto UBI Experiment with Coinbase Backing

**U.S. Congressional Statements Spark Speculation** Several U.S. congressmen have made cryptic statements in recent days, leading to increased speculation about potential alien disclosure. Prediction markets now show a 17% probability that aliens will be confirmed this year. **Previous Developments** This follows NASA's September 2025 announcement of what they called the "clearest sign" of aliens on Mars to date. At that time, markets estimated a 4% (1 in 25) chance of alien confirmation within the year. **Market Response** The probability has more than quadrupled from 4% to 17% following the recent congressional comments, reflecting significant market movement on the possibility of official alien disclosure in 2026.

Maine Governor Janet Mills has officially backed a new millionaire tax proposal. The endorsement comes as state leaders explore revenue options through higher taxes on wealthy residents. **Key Details:** - Governor Mills supports the proposed millionaire tax bill - Follows a trend of Democratic governors considering tax increases on high earners - New York's Governor Hochul previously explored corporate tax hikes The proposal represents Maine's approach to addressing state budget needs through progressive taxation targeting millionaires.

**Polymarket has expanded beyond prediction markets into traditional finance.** The platform now offers trading on: - U.S. equities (individual stocks) - Major equity indices (ETF tracking) - Commodities including gold, silver, and natural gas All markets are powered by **Pyth Pro** data feeds, bringing real-time pricing to the prediction market format. Users can trade on daily close prices and up/down movements for these traditional assets, applying Polymarket's crowd-wisdom model to conventional financial instruments.

French President Emmanuel Macron has declared that attempting to reopen the Strait of Hormuz through military force is **unrealistic**. This diplomatic stance marks a significant shift in approach to the ongoing crisis affecting one of the world's most critical energy chokepoints. The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly **one-fifth of global oil traffic**. **Key implications:** - Signals preference for diplomatic negotiations over military intervention - Could reduce immediate military escalation risks - May influence global energy market stability - Affects ceasefire probability calculations Macron's position suggests France is pursuing trust-building measures rather than confrontational tactics to resolve the maritime blockade.

Polymarket has launched a new prediction market asking whether the Iranian regime will fall by May 31st. Users can now trade on this geopolitical outcome. **What's happening:** - New market allows betting on Iranian government collapse - Follows previous Polymarket question about Iranian presidential elections - Platform aggregates crowd wisdom to generate real-time probability estimates **How it works:** - Traders buy and sell shares based on their assessment of the likelihood - Share prices reflect current market consensus on probability - Users profit if their predictions prove accurate [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-may-31/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-may-31?via=x-afr2)