Augur Nears Release After 6 Months of Development, Prepares Algorithmic Fork Experiment

Augur is conducting what appears to be the first live fork of a decentralized oracle system with real value at stake. The **Moon Fork** runs until August 1, with no ability to pause or intervene. **Key points:** - REP token holders' decisions during this period will create a permanent public record - No decentralized oracle has previously tested this last-resort dispute mechanism in production - Results will inform future development, including Augur Lituus - The fork addresses a resolution problem while testing the protocol's dispute design under real pressure Full details: [Augur blog post](https://www.augur.net/blog/augur-testing-past-building-future/)

**Augur Lituus** introduces a new security model for decentralized oracles, quantifying the cost of manipulation. The whitepaper calculates that forcing a fraudulent outcome would cost an attacker **134% of the protocol's fully diluted valuation** - higher than Augur v2's 92%. The mechanism works by requiring attackers to buy over half the token supply and render it worthless, after which the protocol mints replacement tokens, forcing the attacker to repeat the process. Meanwhile, **Augur's Moon Fork** represents the first live test of a last-resort fork mechanism with real value at stake. Running until August 1, every decision made by REP token holders creates a public record of how these systems perform under pressure. The project also funds **Dark Florist**, an independent team working on the same oracle problem, preferring multiple serious attempts over declaring the challenge solved.

**Kraken has confirmed support for the Augur REP token migration**, providing automatic conversion for users holding REP on the exchange. - REP holders on Kraken don't need to take any action - the migration will happen automatically - Kraken has been a long-standing exchange partner for Augur, including during the project's hibernation period - Augur praised Kraken's commitment to decentralized, open-source software **Important context**: Not all exchanges are supporting the migration. REP holders on other platforms should check the [official support tracker](https://support.kraken.com/articles/augur-migration) before the August 1 deadline. Unmigrated REP may become worthless after this date. For exchanges without confirmed support, users should withdraw REP to a self-custody wallet and use the official migration tool.

Augur has released **ForkWatch**, a read-only tracking tool that allows users to monitor fork migration progress and check if addresses still hold REPv1 or REPv2 tokens. **Key features:** - Track migration progress in real-time - Verify token holdings across addresses - Monitor exchange migration support status - No wallet connection required—completely read-only **Migration resources available:** - Official migration tool: https://6.augurfork.eth.limo - Migration guide: https://augur.net/learn/fork/migration/ - ForkWatch dashboard: https://v3.augur.net/ *Important:* Always verify URLs before connecting any wallet. ForkWatch itself requires no signatures or transactions—actual migration happens through the official migration tool only.

After a decade of operation, **Augur has executed its first-ever fork**. This marks a significant milestone for the decentralized prediction market protocol. **Background:** - Augur launched 10 years ago as a decentralized oracle and prediction market on Ethereum - The protocol has been working on triggering crypto's first algorithmic fork - Recent updates positioned Augur as infrastructure for the booming prediction market sector The fork represents a major technical achievement for one of Ethereum's longest-running DeFi protocols, demonstrating the maturity of its dispute resolution mechanism after years of continuous operation.